| |
W7EES > SWPC 01.01.13 18:36l 48 Lines 1508 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 2806W7EES
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
Path: IZ3LSV<F1OYP<VE2PKT<VK2DOT<N9LYA<KQ0I<N9PMO<W6IDS<W7EES
Sent: 130101/1516 10246@W7EES.OR.USA.NOAM
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 366 Issued at 2200Z on 31 Dec 2012
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 30/2100Z to
31/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 6 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be at low
levels on days one, two, and three (01 Jan, 02 Jan, 03 Jan).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 30/2100Z to 31/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed,
as measured by the ACE spacecraft, reached a peak speed of 483 km/s at
31/0108Z.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels for the next three days (01 Jan, 02
Jan, 03 Jan).
III. Event probabilities 01 Jan-03 Jan
Class M 10/10/10
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 31 Dec 114
Predicted 01 Jan-03 Jan 115/120/120
90 Day Mean 31 Dec 117
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 30 Dec 004/003
Estimated Afr/Ap 31 Dec 001/002
Predicted Afr/Ap 01 Jan-03 Jan 006/008-010/010-006/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 01 Jan-03 Jan
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 10/15/05
Minor Storm 05/05/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/15/15
Minor Storm 20/25/10
Major-severe storm 15/20/05
Read previous mail | Read next mail
| |
