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CX2SA > SWPC 08.02.13 00:22l 59 Lines 2091 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 3177-CX2SA
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
Path: IZ3LSV<IV3SCP<IW0QNL<JH4XSY<JE7YGF<7M3TJZ<ZL2BAU<XE1FH<CX2SA
Sent: 130207/2219Z @:CX2SA.SAL.URY.SA #:3177 [Salto] FBB7.00e $:3177-CX2SA
From: CX2SA@CX2SA.SAL.URY.SA
To : SWPC@WW
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2013 Feb 07 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 38 Issued at 2200Z on 07 Feb 2013
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 06/2100Z to
07/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 4 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be at low
levels on days one, two, and three (08 Feb, 09 Feb, 10 Feb).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 06/2100Z to 07/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed,
as measured by the ACE spacecraft, reached a peak speed of 391 km/s at
07/1936Z. Total IMF reached 10.2 nT at 07/0519Z. The maximum southward
component of Bz reached -9.1 nT at 07/0541Z.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to minor storm levels for the next three days (08 Feb, 09
Feb, 10 Feb).
III. Event probabilities 08 Feb-10 Feb
Class M 10/10/10
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 07 Feb 103
Predicted 08 Feb-10 Feb 105/105/110
90 Day Mean 07 Feb 120
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 06 Feb 002/001
Estimated Afr/Ap 07 Feb 005/006
Predicted Afr/Ap 08 Feb-10 Feb 014/022-011/015-007/010
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 08 Feb-10 Feb
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 25/20/10
Minor Storm 10/05/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/15/15
Minor Storm 25/25/20
Major-severe storm 35/25/20
___________________________________________________________
Automatic packet bulletin created with information received
by cx2sa.net from the SWPC Space Weather Prediction Center.
___________________________________________________________
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